“madison avenue, you work for redmond now”

0710surfaces.jpg
[The real hit of the show: Mic­ro­soft Sur­face makes an appea­rance.]
0710ballmer.jpg
[Steve Ball­mer on stage. I had a press pass so I got to sit second row cen­tral.]
My take on the Mic­ro­soft Ima­gi­na­tion Show 07:
Mic­ro­soft has every inten­tion of taking over your adver­ti­sing bud­get, in the same way they once took over your IT bud­get. Madi­son Ave­nue, you work for Red­mond now etc.
Do The Math: Mic­ro­soft has gone on record for saying they think they can get 5% of the total amount of money spent on adver­ti­sing glo­bally each year. 5% of $650 billion is $32.5 billion. Thirty two point five billion dollars annually. Nice work if you can get it.
OK, maybe that’s a bit extreme Kool-Ade drin­king on my part. But don’t unde­res­ti­mate their ambi­tion or capa­bi­lity, either. In his key­note, Steve Ball­mer said he pre­dic­ted adver­ti­sing to be bet­ween 25 – 50% of Microsoft’s core reve­nue within a few years.
I’ll write more about this later, once I have time to really sit down and think.
[UPDATE:] The Lon­don Times con­firms what I heard in Paris. Ditto with Busi­ness­week. Ditto with New York Times.

Comments

  1. This is some scary shit. Then again, it would be nice to see those old-line ad agen­cies fall by the way­side.
    What are all of those account execs going to do now? Sell used cars?

  2. Hugh, thanks for the twit­ter upda­tes this mor­ning, very exci­ting. Loo­king for­ward to your thoughts.
    Stewart

  3. For them to do so Hugh, they will have to buck the trend and exe­cute sig­ni­fi­cantly bet­ter than they have done over the last decade see Henry’s post :
    http://www.alleyinsider.com/2007/10/microsoft-inter.html
    regards
    Al

  4. Hugh, txs for the tweets etc
    What is exactly “25 – 50% of Microsoft’s core reve­nue”? Does it mean Tot MSFT minus XBox?
    If it is, it’s a long shot.
    Do you really see MSFT as a media com­pany? Where’s their killer app there?

  5. Maggie Leber says:

    I agree with Keith re: spooky poop…
    Let’s sum up: the com­pany that 0wnz0rs every Win­dows desk­top and X-Box on the pla­net, the one that has fought tooth-and-nail to retain their God-given right to push data to every last stin­king one of them in real time…*that* company…has conc­lu­ded their real future lies in *adver­ti­sing*?
    What fun. I can hardly wait.

  6. Sur­face looks ama­zing! Any word on when it is avai­la­ble for sale?

  7. What a bleak future where everything is fun­ded by adver­ti­sing that nobody wants to see.

  8. What’s old is new again. Read “Bar­ba­rians Led by Bill Gates” and that’s how they used to run the com­pany, pretty much. Things really hap­pen when you have great pro­duct and great mar­ke­ting. The pro­duct has to be seen as great by outsi­ders of course — if you’re eating your own dog food — who the fuck wants dog food in the 21st century?! — that’s not good enough, it’s not good enough for insi­ders to think the pro­duct is great. Jack Trout 101, suc­cess comes from without, not within, etc, blah.

  9. Dave Armstrong says:

    Mic­ro­soft does not mar­ket. You have to have their pro­duct because you can­not func­tion without it and there is no alter­na­tive. Why mar­ket when you are the only store in the world? No serious com­pe­ti­tion = don’t waste your money mar­ke­ting. Any­body knows what mono­poly means …
    Mic­ro­soft Rules.
    I write code with Mic­ro­soft tools and get paid mas­sive amounts of money to do it.
    I am rich just like Bill.
    Mic­ro­soft Rules.
    Best Wishes,
    Dave

  10. I adver­ti­sed with Mic­ro­soft in the late ’90’s through their old Lin­kExchange dis­play adver­ti­sing ser­vice, and I remem­ber get­ting a pretty decent CTR for the pre-AdSense era. By com­pa­ri­son, Microsoft’s current online adver­ti­sing efforts just don’t reach into the Long Tail of online media. Until they do, it’s AdSense for me.

  11. i’m w/ Chad.
    that’s how they’re going to change the world? that’s the best that they can come up with?
    boring and trite.
    google’s already moved from text search ads to radio, news­pa­pers, online video and bill­boards. …so microsoft’s just going to follow them in to the same boring stu­pid busi­ness model?
    ads, ads, ads, ads, ads, ads, ads, ads…seems that’s all that tech­no­logy can do any­more. it’s dumb.

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