March 19, 2007

thesher 2.0

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For those of you who may not remem­ber, last Decem­ber Stormhoek relea­sed an online voucher for 40% off any wine or cham­pagne in any Thresher store. And it went viral. Besi­des making the natio­nal news, it gene­ra­ted £15million [Fif­teen million pounds] of busi­ness for Thresher in only a few days. Besi­des that, it tre­bled Stormhoek sales for the time it was run­ning [and not just in Thresher, but everywhere in the UK].
So yes, it was a good out­come. Which is why I want to do it again. Another good out­come is always wel­come around here etc.
Sure, you could argue that Thresher virus was also a fluke. We had zero con­trol over the out­come, all we did was post it online and see what would hap­pen. But that’s why they’re called “viru­ses”: Because they’re unpre­dic­ta­ble. If they were pre­dic­ta­ble, we’d call them something else.
Any­way, I pitched Jason on it already. He’s pretty skep­ti­cal that we can make it hap­pen again– “Light­ning never stri­kes twice” etc. But I’m thin­king it might just work because:
1. There are a lot of peo­ple who already know about the last voucher. So there’s a level of baked-in “fame” already there.
2. There are already a lot of peo­ple out there who used the first voucher. They know what they got out of it, so they might be willing to use it again for simi­lar rea­sons.
3. The peo­ple who mis­sed it first time around might be willing to have a go this time.
In short, I think there are enough peo­ple out there wiling to have another go at redee­ming the cou­pon one more time, even if this time the story isn’t as news­worthy to break into the mains­tream media machine like it did last time.
Thoughts?

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27 Responses to “thesher 2.0”

  1. Robert says:

    I think it is unli­kely that it will work again in the same way. One of the keys to the suc­cess of the last voucher was the timing — Christ­mas.
    We (Bri­tish con­su­mers) have been con­di­tio­ned to look for bar­gains, par­ti­cu­larly at Christ­mas, and par­ti­cu­larly in wine. One of the things that made the “virus” work was that it fed on that herd ins­tinct to shop for a deal. I doubt that any other time of the year would gene­rate the same drive to shop.
    Also, it relied on a misun­ders­tan­ding of the every day deal Thresher offer (effec­ti­vely 33.33% dis­count com­pa­red to 40%) and this was cove­red, lat­terly, by seve­ral media. The result was that some shop­pers felt chea­ted. Not the best way to try and hook them in again.
    Your blog, and the Stormhoek brand, are great assets, and I think you could come up with another incen­tive that was a little bit dif­fe­rent this time and one that maybe focu­sed on something other than the discount-mania of current wine mar­ke­ting, no?

  2. Rob La Gesse says:

    I think it’ll work bet­ter the second time — mostly for the rea­sons you iden­ti­fied. Plus the fact you have a lar­ger audience now. Add to that the fact the voucher will have a kick-ass Gaping Void Car­toon on it, and it can’t lose (it *will* have a kick-ass car­toon, won’t it?)
    Rob

  3. Jim says:

    Dis­coun­ting doesn’t seem very ima­gi­na­tive to me. Every­body likes a good deal, but what is it really doing to build brand value? It may actually be deva­luing the brand.

  4. Adam says:

    One thing that Daimler-Chrysler has lear­ned in the last cou­ple years is that if you train your con­su­mers that there are incen­ti­ves at regu­lar inter­vals you risk can­ni­ba­li­zing your regu­lar sales. For a while there they were saying that they would not be offe­ring incen­ti­ves, ins­tead they were lowe­ring the MSRP of vehic­les. Con­su­mers didn’t bite though because they were expec­ting ‘Emplo­yee Pri­cing’ or ‘0% finan­cing’ and held off on their purcha­ses.
    You wouldnt want to inad­ver­tently hurt sales by having cus­to­mer ‘wait until the next time their is a cou­pon’ when brow­sing the ais­les at Thresher.

  5. Joe Andrieu says:

    Cou­pons like the voucher work best when they are spe­cial, unex­pec­ted, and rare. Once peo­ple begin to expect cou­pons, the dis­coun­ted price beco­mes the expec­ted price and peo­ple shift buying habits to wait for the pro­mo­tions, which depres­ses the ave­rage price, with poten­tially mini­mal or no inc­rease in sales.
    This was the pers­pec­tive that sha­ped Wal-Mart’s every­day low pri­ces, which they cre­dit for a large part of their suc­cess over the K-Mart “cou­pon eco­nomy”, where the cou­pon dis­tri­bu­tion costs more than out­weighed the pro­mo­tio­nal value.
    So, you might get a good res­ponse, but every time you tap the exci­te­ment, you les­sen its poten­tial. I’d wait seve­ral years before trying it again.

  6. Mike R says:

    Oh hell yes, do it.
    I for one would make use of a voucher again, and whilst you don’t have Christ­mas this time around, I would ima­gine that the voucher would still have an expiry date.
    I think your ins­tinct is right about this one, Hugh.

  7. John Dawson says:

    Too much of a good thing? I think peo­ple “went” for the Threshers voucher because they thought they were get­ting one over on a “big” com­pany. Threshers were cer­tainly happy with the PR etc no mat­ter what they said.
    Robert is right that the blog and Stormhoek brand are great assets — if you wan­ted some PR from this then i would con­si­der wri­ting up the story for a news­pa­per — the “My mis­take cost Threshers £xm” type article. Won’t obviously have the same impact but would give you some expo­sure.
    If you were going to do the voucher again then i think it needs to be pitched dif­fe­rently to con­su­mers. The mes­sage should be along the lines of “we made a mis­take before and it wor­ked out well in the end. This time we know what to expect (so shel­ves will be stoc­ked) and we want you to pass it on to as many peo­ple as pos­si­ble.“
    I’m not sure it is going to work but you need to be honest with con­su­mers as to why you are run­ning the deal again.

  8. Kath says:

    Go for it!

  9. Make it 80% off and you’ll be on the news again.

  10. Neil Major says:

    I think it is hap­pe­ning already. Anyone got the Euros­tar Tele­graph Euros­tar offer pass­word email in the last week? ;)

  11. IMHO the very thing that made the last cam­paign a suc­cess may be the thing that kills the viral effect .
    With baked-in fame, sure you’ll get plenty of rep­sonse, but as good as before? I’m not so sure. Peo­ple are wise to it. For me, what makes the viral con­cept work is the WOW fac­tor.
    Unless you came up with another totally uni­que viral idea, I would strug­gle to see how it can be anywhere near as suc­cess­ful as the pre­vious version.

  12. Lloyd Davis says:

    Just don’t do it like this:
    http://perfectpath.wordpress.com/2007/03/17/klewless-pruf-ridder-rekwired/
    I think you’ve still got a way to go with this one before you can be accu­sed of jum­ping the shark

  13. robert says:

    Hugh,
    Screw the nay­sa­yers — where’s my frig­ging voucher.…?!!
    C’mon. Gimme the dam­ned thing I need my Stormhoek fix.

  14. Chris says:

    I prin­ted a cou­ple of dozen vouchers and gave them to friends, but never made it to Threshers myself. This time I’ll print even more, and go myself.

  15. Hugh, long time rea­der first time wri­ter (always wan­ted to say that sort of thing)…
    I’m unfa­mi­liar with your pre­vious dis­count (dis­coun­ting your current post) but would seriously weigh the value of your objec­ti­ves before doing this.
    If you are trying to get publi­city and even­tual brand recog­ni­tion for Stormhoek, then this is pro­bably not the way to go as old news is no news. If you want to bump up your sales (at the cost of mar­gin) then yeah do it…
    I like what you have done with your blog. It’s the only means that I’ve loo­ked at your com­pany brand and it has a posi­tive effect on me. Should I see a Stormhoek brand here in Mpls. MN I’ll pro­bably give it a shot.
    Ove­rall, my advice is to improve your brand and pro­ducts through what you’ve done on your blog. Any mar­ke­ter worth his/her salt knows that stea­dily deva­luing your brand is pro­duct sui­cide. Update us on what you decide though!
    R.ed

  16. Nathan says:

    I think what’s said about dis­coun­tings impact on brand image is a good point as well as the com­ment on having your cus­to­mer become acquain­ted to having dis­counts around cer­tain periods and thus hol­ding off. Howe­ver, I think at least with the lat­ter, this mar­ket is a bit dif­fe­rent given the price of the items, the type of item it is, and the tem­po­rary inven­tory.
    With that said, I think you are pretty spot on with your assump­tions. At the best, it works as good or bet­ter than it did before because of everything you’ve men­tio­ned. At the least, it only gene­ra­tes a few extra sales?
    I could be enti­rely wrong, but if you want it to simply boost exta sales, then I think it’s a win/win either way.

  17. Adrian says:

    Hmm, When I first heard about the vouchers, it wasn’t in rela­tion to stormhoek or anything. It was appa­rently this voucher that had been ‘lea­ked’ and that nor­mal con­su­mers weren’t meant to have.
    So a bunch of peo­ple had a go to see if they could get away with it.
    If you tried it again now, I don’t think the same would hap­pen. Peo­ple would sense that it had been done on pur­pose more, and so I don’t think would jump at it as quickly.
    It might still have an effect, but I don’t think it would be anything like the same degree.

  18. robert says:

    Firstly, there are far too many Roberts around here. Time for a bit of per­so­nal rebran­ding I think.
    Secondly, it would appear that those who think about the bran­ding impact believe (like me) it is a bad idea, and those who most crave dis­counts say it is a good idea. Point pro­ven?
    What would be the rea­son for “doing it again”? If it is to prove you can create another viral cam­paign, I’d love to see it, but I sug­gest that trying the Thresher “whoops this should not have gone out so widely and have been down­loa­ded so many times from our Stormhoek friends’ web­site” approach may not work. Try something else. How about a viral cam­paign to sell bes­poke suits?
    If it is to raise the pro­file, and sales, of either Thresher and/or Stormhoek, use your crea­ti­vity and reach for something bet­ter.
    I do recom­mend that you read the whole thread on the site I link to on my own blog post (you pro­bably don’t want it here) to see what reac­tions it engen­de­red last time, admit­tedly amongst a sub­set of ‘higher end’ wine drinkers.

  19. Andrew says:

    Go for it — but with a dif­fe­rent slant. Highly time sen­sa­tive? For Stormhoek bott­les only?

  20. Since the more opi­nions you get, the wiser the crowd gets, I will also offer my view, but be war­ned: I have a tech­ni­cal back­ground and know nothing about mar­ke­ting.
    You guys are crea­tive enough to come up with something else. You did money for Christ­mas and love for Valentine’s. Maybe you should try fame. Or hope.
    I think the WOW effect wears off. Dis­count alone makes sense if the pro­duct is too expen­sive, which Stormhoek isn’t. I would try to repeat the “your chance to be part of something spe­cial” idea, which was (at least for me) the coo­lest aspect of it.

  21. The Bruce says:

    Hen­ce­forth this Robert shall be known as: The Bob For­merly Known As Robert
    I actually pre­fer to be called Robert. So that is it then. I remain he, and all you other Roberts can scrap amongst your­sel­ves for another monic­ker.
    Mac­Leod, where are the bloody vouchers? Hurry up, the cellar is empt­ying fast!

  22. cp says:

    40% off wine = suc­cess. plain and sim­ple. of course it will work. i’m gues­sing peo­ple want to have that con­ver­sa­tion again — you just need to give them the oppor­tu­nity, hugh.

  23. Dan says:

    If you can offer 40% off to ever­yone with a prin­ter and still be pro­fi­ta­ble, you are pro­bably char­ging too much. Why not give ever­yone those rea­so­na­ble pri­ces all the time, ins­tead of pushing vouchers and get­ting slam­med with orders a cou­ple times a year? Even out the cash flow with steady business.

  24. Clive Birnie says:

    Eas­ter is the second “Big Din­ner” at our tables, the second big con­ver­sa­tion and the second big wave in the retail tide. If it moved purcha­sing power from a super­mar­ket aisle into Threshers once it will do it again. There is a chance it will be big­ger this time because the resi­dual awa­re­ness from ver­sion 1 will push the wave of reac­tion fas­ter. Its like series 2 of a cult show get­ting big­ger ratings even though its not as good as the ori­gi­nal. Series three is always a dog though and should be avoided.

  25. adrian moss says:

    Over the last few months when I give pre­sen­ta­tions on social media, small world expe­ri­ments etc I men­tion the voucher. I would say 50 — 60% of the audience heard of it but less than 15% took it up. Rea­sons for non-take up are varied but ‘never got around to it as Xmas shop in x’ is high up the list.
    I would say you ‘lost’ sales as many bott­les went into the main Xmas food shop at Tesco’s, Sainbury’s et al.
    Try it. What have you got to lose? Even £1m in extra sales will give you a great ROI.
    Put an extra Eas­ter bonus in it. Do a Willy Wonka. Find the spe­cial label to enter a draw for a free trip to South Africa to help pick the gra­pes and make the wine. 10 run­ners up get ori­gi­nal car­toons from you and 3 get a meal with S staff in Lon­don (Wine­Geeks meet Tech­Geeks?). Go have fun with it. Life is too short not too.

  26. dim says:

    well being on the front line so to speak (I run a threshers) so far its not been anywhere like the buzz that we had last time..
    Last time around I did around £4k in sales. this time round ive seen three cou­pons for a com­bi­ned total of about £200…
    Firstly, xmas is so much big­ger an event…
    Secondly… last time a lot of peo­ple took time out to cri­tise us, saying that we added pounds to every bottle of wine and we still cost more than the super­mar­kets (i know for a fact this is not right.. i make a point of chec­king pri­ces on a weekly basis for that very rea­son).. we also had a lot of press saying it was only a 7% dis­count on top of buy 2 get 3rd free.. peo­ple cant do there maths.. ;)
    Thirdly.. the sheer volume of dis­cus­sion over the last voucher means that cus­to­mers are strug­gling to find the voucher.. i have had a few com­plaints that cus­to­mers can only find web­pa­ges rela­ted to the decem­ber offer and cant find the current one on goo­gle (i found it easy enough although its taken a while cos the thresher web­site seems to be up the swanny)
    Fourthly — no cham­pagne… That was a mas­sive part of the appeal last time… Yes my wine sales where sky high.. but cham­pagne was out of orbit…
    Finally.. last time ever­yone thought it was a mis­take that they where get­ting something they should be, so they dived in on it.. this time they know the deal.. Viral Mar­ke­ting has hea­ded into the dic­tio­nary… Peo­ple where never going to react in the same way…
    i was never ever going to be anywhere near as big, and cer­tainly from where im stan­ding its not (now watch me get com­ple­tely and utterly ham­me­red tom­moro and run out of wine…) :D
    But have fun with the vouchers…
    (Spose i bet­ter say that opi­nions are mine and not that of thresher blah blah blah.…)

  27. dim says:

    One final com­ment that i should have made in regard to…
    Quote “If you can offer 40% off to ever­yone with a prin­ter and still be pro­fi­ta­ble, you are pro­bably char­ging too much. Why not give ever­yone those rea­so­na­ble pri­ces all the time, ins­tead of pushing vouchers and get­ting slam­med with orders a cou­ple times a year? Even out the cash flow with steady busi­ness.“
    Its not all about that.. for me as a mana­ger i was faced with on the last cou­pon many many cus­to­mers that had never been in a threshers before.. That was my oppor­tu­nity to sell my shop as a busi­ness and myself as a mana­ger.. At the time i had buy 2 get 3rd free pri­ces around the store so i simply told them to take another 10% off.. i was honest with them from the start.. 99% of those peo­ple who had never visi­ted did not even know we did the offer.. So i was able to make them aware… AND THEY CAME BACK…
    My mar­gin over the period was ham­me­red.. But to me its about get­ting peo­ple in.. then if i do MY job i can impress them enough with my abi­lity and my know­ledge to hope­fully STOP them going back to tesco or majes­tic or whe­re­ver it may be… THAT IS WHERE THE MONEY IS MADE.. not on the vouchers..
    Again.. only my opi­nion.. :D