December 25, 2004

crowded markets

zzzzsteak13.jpg
One of my favo­rite bits in “How To Be Crea­tive” is Num­ber 11:

Don’t try to stand out from the crowd; avoid crowds alto­gether.
Your plan for get­ting your work out there has to be as ori­gi­nal as the actual work, perhaps even more so. The work has to create a totally new mar­ket. There’s no point trying to do the same thing as 250,000 other young hope­fuls, wai­ting for a miracle. All exis­ting busi­ness models are wrong. Find a new one.

Yeah, well, this is something I lear­ned the hard way.
Wor­king over the years with a host of dif­fe­rent indus­tries– adver­ti­sing, TV, news­pa­pers etc– you soon learn that there’s a lot of peo­ple who want to be doing the same thing you’re doing.
A lot of them would like nothing bet­ter than to take your job.
A lot of them are youn­ger, sexier, smar­ter, chea­per, hun­grier and more des­pe­rate than you are.
In plain eco­no­mics, it’s hard to com­pete with these folk. And every year gets a little bit har­der.
So the thing to do is avoid stuff a lot of other peo­ple are doing i.e avoid the stuff peo­ple already know about.
Young peo­ple leave college and head straight into “crow­ded mar­kets”, simply because they’re inex­pe­rien­ced (Anything to do with adver­ti­sing, TV, or news­pa­pers is EXTREMELY crow­ded, for ins­tance).
When you’re older, there’s less excuse.
[UPDATE:]
Andreas in the comm­mets points to a great article of his re. the same pro­blem affec­ting MBA gra­dua­tes. Too many sheep, not enough grass etc.
Basi­cally, when 20,000 peo­ple have the same biz model as you, you are dead meat.

6 Responses to “crowded markets”

  1. Nancy says:

    less excuse, but more excuze?
    Apo­lo­gies for alter­na­tive spelling.

  2. Andreas says:

    I abso­lu­tely agree. And when every­body stu­dies the same, we get the same stra­te­gies, the same pro­ducts, the same adver­ti­se­ment, the same everything. Boring and grey. I wrote here (http://asiabusinessconsulting.blogspot.com/2004/02/mbas-bleak-future-why-art-graduates.html) that even McKin­sey looks for dif­fe­rent type of peo­ple. Is it pos­si­ble to say that dif­fe­rent types of stu­dies pro­duce dif­fe­rent types of pro­ducts, and more inno­va­tion or crea­ti­vity? May be, in the future, MBAs become the entry tic­ket to uni­ver­si­ties, but than, what other sub­jects are you good at?

  3. hugh macleod says:

    Nice post, Andreas, I read your article. Good one.
    An MBA is no gua­ran­tee of how well you’re going to do in buis­ness. It’s a good indi­ca­tor that you can do what you’re told, though, in unfa­vo­ra­ble con­di­tions.
    And surely one needs a more ori­gi­nal busi­ness model than “get­ting into a decent biz school”?
    When 20,000 peo­ple have the same biz plan as you, you’re dead meat.

  4. I have been won­de­ring about why so many peo­ple choose the same losing stra­tegy.
    Some of it is because it was a win­ning stra­tegy before so it will reco­ver, right?
    Some of it is lag-time, not rea­li­zing how long it takes to become good at something and they start just in time for it to be over.
    Some of it is herd men­ta­lity, ever­yone is doing it so it must be good, even when that means the herd goes over a cliff. You might not want too but you are in too deep to change direc­tion because ever­yone else around you is going the wrong way and they sweep you along too.
    Some of it is not having a win­ning stra­tegy to emu­late.
    And some of it is just not kno­wing the dif­fe­rence, and not caring any­way.
    You need to have vision and you just can’t see very far in the middle of the herd. Wether pre­da­tor or prey, the edge is where the action is.
    You need to care for others and those who need the most caring are never in the deep of the herd.
    The Uni­verse cares more about the means than the ends of what you do. Be your best and the Uni­verse will do its best for you, which is a whole lot.

  5. Hugh Mac­leod making meaning

    Hugh Mac­leod making mea­ning far more elo­quently than I’ve been able to. His post, Crow­ded Mar­kets is exactly why you need to be remar­ka­ble and why I’m wri­ting my Chan­geThis mani­festo “Going All In: Why I learnt more from Late Night Poker than my MBA”…

  6. Pegasus News says:

    Avoi­ding crowds

    It’s been too long since I pos­ted any Hugh Mac­leod, but