January 11, 2004

the future of big media v4056.02

A lovely little post by Jason Kottke about a guy who pre­dic­ted blog­ging (or “meta­jour­nailsm”, as he called it) over six years ago.
This is what caught my eye: “The beau­ti­ful thing about this new meta-journalism is that it doesn’t require a mas­sive dis­tri­bu­tion chan­nel or extra­va­gant licen­sing fees. A sin­gle user with a Web con­nec­tion and only the most rudi­men­tary HTML skills can upload his or her over­view of the day’s news. If the edi­to­rial sen­si­bi­lity is sharp enough, this kind of meta­jour­na­lism could easily find enough of an audience to be com­mer­cially sus­tai­na­ble, given the limi­ted overhead requi­red to run such a ser­vice.”
Exactly. With the soft­ware basi­cally free and the inter­net already in exis­tance, why do we need Big Media’s sorry ass in the equa­tion?
Purists will say “we don’t”. I disa­gree. There’s too much money to be made.
Whether it’s old media (TV, news­pa­per) or new media (inter­net) Big Media’s main source of reve­nue will con­ti­nue to be the same one it’s always been– adver­ti­sing. The New York Times earns its daily crust by suppl­ying audien­ces to adver­ti­sers. The audience shows up every mor­ning in exchange for being given “all the news that’s fit to print” plus some thought­ful com­men­tary. Other media organs do something simi­lar, offe­ring their audien­ces pic­tu­res of naked girls with nice breasts, or the latest info on haute cou­ture or the latest music coming out of the record com­pa­nies.
Suppl­ying audience in return for cash, using wha­te­ver means neces­sary. News, tits, fashion, music… wha­te­ver works.
A media com­pany of the future might be quite dif­fe­rent– ins­tead of a huge edi­to­rial titan pro­vi­ding its own con­tent with sala­ried con­tent crea­tors (a biz model that’s already see­ming pretty tired), I can see something more like a bro­ke­rage house which arbi­tra­tes rela­tionships bet­ween hun­dreds of big money adver­ti­sers and millions of small free con­tent web­si­tes. Yes, Goo­gle Adsense has something like that already, although pre­sently it’s neither pretty, fun or inte­res­ting. I’m seeing something more akin to Blo­gads , only far big­ger and far more sophis­ti­ca­ted.
If, as Clay Shirky has said before, the qua­lity of free con­tent will con­ti­nue to rise, then the media com­pany will have no need to hire con­tent pro­vi­ders, because with few excep­tions the free stuff will be as good as any paid stuff.
In Big Media, the rela­tionship bet­ween adver­ti­sers and audience is the cons­tant. The fulch­rum in the middle– the con­tent– nobody cares if it’s paid for or free. They just care if it works for them. The only peo­ple who disa­gree are the paid con­tent pro­vi­ders and well, yeah, they would, wouldn’t they?

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